16/03/2024
16:00 CET

A crunch relegation clash is in store on Saturday afternoon as 3^rd bottom Luton host 4^th bottom Nottingham Forest at Kenilworth Road.

Rob Edwards’ men know that a win will take them above their opponents and have scored in 13 of their 14 home games so far this season. They face a Forest side who have kept just 2 clean sheets from their 14 matches on the road so far.

Furthermore, Nuno Espirito Santo’s team have the 2^nd worst away record in the Premier League, amassing a meager 9 points from 42 available and have lost 9 of their 14 games away from The City Ground.

Despite The Hatters failing to win any of their last 3 Premier League games on home soil, their performances have been very encouraging and finding the net at home certainly hasn’t been an issue for them.

10 of Luton’s 14 games at home have ended with over 2.5 goals and overall for the season so far it’s 20 out of 28 games this outcome has happened.The graphic below shows Luton having 71% of their matches both at Kenilworth Road and away from home producing over 2.5 goals, the joint 4^th highest in the league.

However, given Edwards’ side have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 4 Premier League home games and 2 clean sheets from their 14 Premier League games at Kenilworth Road so far, it is more than likely they will concede in the game.

The graphic below shows just how difficult clean sheets have been to come by for both sides, with Luton ranked 17^th for home clean sheets and Forest 15^th for away clean sheets.

William Hill are offering 4.2 on Luton to win and over 2.5 match goals.

Despite their lack of clean sheets, The Hatters have scored 41 goals this campaign and might just have enough to outscore Forest and earn a crucial win in the battle to stay up.